相似系统间调整因子的量化方法

探讨一种便于操作、系统而量化的方法 ,以预计新研系统的可靠性参数。在相似设备法的基础上 ,提出了利用可量化的调整因子对相似系统的可靠性参数进行转换的方法 ,有效地提高了相似设备法的可操作性和分析精度 ,对研究相似设备法在工程技术领域的应用也具有一定的参考价值     

核磁共振研究溶胀AB-交联聚合物中的分子运动

测定了溶胀的PPU/PSAB 交联聚合物中链段和侧基的13CT1和NOE ,用VJGM模型和三等价位跃迁内旋转、扩散内旋转以及等价、不等价两位置跃迁内旋转模型分析了其中的主链链段运动和侧基内旋转运动 ,求出了主链和侧基的运动相关时间、扩散系数和活化能等参数 .结果表明PS含量对PPU运动的影响极小 ,PS主链运动活化能与PPU含量存在线性关系 .丙烯酸与苯乙烯共聚对PPU的运动几乎无影响     

Estimating the point availability with right‐censored data

The point availability of a one‐unit system at a specified time is defined as the probability that the component is operating at that time. When both operating time and repair time are subject to random (right) censorship, we propose an asymptotic nonparametric approach for constructing confidence intervals for the point availability of the system. The technique is based on the fact that a product limit estimator converges to a Gaussian process. The method is also extended to finding confidence intervals for the point availability of a complex system using the δ‐Method. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 119–127, 1999     

防空武器火控系统对空中目标参数估计方法仿真

针对防空武器火控系统的特点,提出了一种防空武器火控系统对空中目标参数估计的方法,可以在不知道目标距离的条件下得到目标的航向角与俯仰角,实现对目标的被动式跟踪,对估计误差的统计特性进行了分析,仿真结果表明了该方法比传统的估计方法更加可行.     

The logistic–exponential survival distribution

For various parameter combinations, the logistic–exponential survival distribution belongs to four common classes of survival distributions: increasing failure rate, decreasing failure rate, bathtub‐shaped failure rate, and upside‐down bathtub‐shaped failure rate. Graphical comparison of this new distribution with other common survival distributions is seen in a plot of the skewness versus the coefficient of variation. The distribution can be used as a survival model or as a device to determine the distribution class from which a particular data set is drawn. As the three‐parameter version is less mathematically tractable, our major results concern the two‐parameter version. Boundaries for the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters are derived in this article. Also, a fixed‐point method to find the maximum likelihood estimators for complete and censored data sets has been developed. The two‐parameter and the three‐parameter versions of the logistic–exponential distribution are applied to two real‐life data sets. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

What you should know about simulation and derivatives

Derivatives (or gradients) are important for both sensitivity analysis and optimization, and in simulation models, these can often be estimated efficiently using various methods other than brute‐force finite differences. This article briefly summarizes the main approaches and discusses areas in which the approaches can most fruitfully be applied: queueing, inventory, and finance. In finance, the focus is on derivatives of another sort. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于频谱分析的飞行模拟器飞行性能验证

介绍频谱分析用于仿真系统模型验证的原理和方法,提出一种应用频谱分析进行飞行模拟器飞行性能验证的方案。结合飞行试验和仿真模型的输出数据,分别采用窗谱估计和最大熵谱估计方法对某型飞行模拟器的飞行性能进行验证,并对验证结果进行分析。结果表明,频谱分析法用于飞行模拟器飞行性能的验证是有效的,可为其他训练模拟器的性能验证提供参考。     

基于火箭弹旋转运动的主子惯导在线标定方案研究

针对火箭炮在射前标定阶段不能进行线运动,只能进行两自由度的角运动,以及需要标定参数多,模型维数大导致标定实时性差等缺点。以火箭炮制导化改造为背景,首先利用旋转调制的原理建立了误差模型,将惯性器件的零偏误差分离,并且理论分析了旋转调制对惯性器件刻度系数误差标定的影响,分析结果表明,旋转运动对刻度系数误差的可观测性影响很大。但是,由于单独的横滚运动不能激励全部6个刻度系数误差,所以最后设计了新的火箭弹机动方案,以及滤波算法使全部刻度系数误差均可观测,并且结果表明除x轴陀螺刻度系数误差外,其余参数均能较快地收敛,与传统的方法相比,标定的实时性和精度都有了较大提高,充分体现了弹丸横滚运动对火箭炮射前标定的重要性。     

基于模糊自适应变维Kalman滤波器的跟踪算法(英文)

针对不同阶数的Kalman滤波器具有不同的跟踪能力与跟踪效率之间存在的矛盾,设计了一种模糊自适应变维跟踪算法(FAVD)。该算法使用两级滤波器,根据目标机动性的变化,适当地调整滤波器的阶数,使跟踪结果快速收敛,很好地解决了矛盾。同时通过模糊推理机制,在线调节高阶滤波器的参数,使适用范围大大增强,提高自适应能力,从而使该算法可以采用较少的模型覆盖较多的目标运动模式,达到很好的跟踪滤波效果,计算量也会大大减小。通过对计算机仿真结果分析表明,提出的算法具有可靠、计算简便、快速等特点,模型滤波精度较高,并可实现实时跟踪预测,具有一定的理论价值和实用价值。     

弱机动目标的参数估计

本文探讨了卡尔曼滤波用于估计弱机动目标状态参数问题。在极坐标系下建立目标机动的相关加速度模型,通过对运动目标斜距二阶变化率和方位角加速度的定量分析,建立了自适应估计目标动态模型噪声强度的弱机动目标参数估计算法。对几种典型航路的模拟证实了在选择适当参数时该算法对目标机动,不同类型的机动间的转换,不仅能较好地压制随机量测噪声,而且能满意地估计目标的速度和航向。